2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota

The 2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Dakota.

For related races, see 2022 United States Senate elections.
2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota
November 8, 2022
 
Nominee TBD Brian Bengs
(presumptive)
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

John Thune
Republican


Elections in South Dakota
Federal government
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2004
2008
2016
2020
Republican
2008
2016
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House elections
State government
General elections
Gubernatorial elections
Attorney General elections
Senate elections
House of Representatives elections
Ballot measures
2006
Amendment C
2008
Measure 9
Measure 10
2020
Amendment A
Measure 26

Incumbent three-term Republican U.S. Senator John Thune, who is the Senate Minority Whip, is running for reelection to a fourth term.[1]

Republican primary

On December 23, 2020, Donald Trump said Thune would face a primary challenger after Thune refused to support a challenge of the 2020 Electoral College results, tweeting: “Republicans in the Senate so quickly forget. Right now they would be down 8 seats without my backing them in the last Election. RINO John Thune, “Mitch’s boy”, should just let it play out. South Dakota doesn’t like weakness. He will be primaried in 2022, political career over!!!”[2] South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem stated she would not challenge Thune for the seat.[3] On January 1, 2021, President Trump tweeted that Noem should challenge Thune in a primary, despite Noem previously saying she will not do so, instead running for re-election as Governor in 2022.[4]

Declared
Republican candidates[lower-alpha 1]

Declined

Polling
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Dusty
Johnson		 Kristi
Noem		 John
Thune		 Undecided
Fabrizio Lee (R)[upper-alpha 1] January 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 30% – 47% 23%
– 49% 40% 10%

Results
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bruce Whalen
Republican John Thune (incumbent)
Republican Mark Mowry
Republican Patrick Schubert
Total votes

Democratic primary

Declared
  • Brian Bengs, former university professor and air force veteran[11]

Declined

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[15] Solid R November 19, 2021
Inside Elections[16] Solid R January 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Safe R November 3, 2021
Politico[18] Solid R April 1, 2022
RCP[19] Safe R January 10, 2022

Notes
  1. The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. This poll was sponsored by the American Potential Fund

References
  1. Levine, Marianne (January 8, 2022). "Senate Minority Whip John Thune to run for reelection". Politico. Retrieved January 8, 2022.
  2. Williams, Jordan (2020-12-22). "Trump attacks Thune: 'He will be primaried in 2022'". TheHill. Retrieved 2020-12-23.
  3. Budryk, Zack (2020-12-23). "Noem rules out Thune challenge after Trump criticizes senator". TheHill. Retrieved 2020-12-23.
  4. Coleman, Justine (1 January 2021). "Trump again calls for Noem to primary Thune despite her refusal". The Hill. Retrieved 1 January 2021.
  5. "Mowry to challenge Thune in 2022 primary". Rapid City Journal. June 22, 2021. ISSN 1079-3410. OCLC 2250546. Archived from the original on July 3, 2021. Retrieved July 3, 2021.
  6. "Two West River men to challenge Thune in 2022 Republican primary".
  7. Austin Goss (July 27, 2021). "State Rep. Taffy Howard expected to announce bid for US Congress". KEVN.
  8. "Ellis: Thune retirement could cause GOP bedlam in South Dakota".
  9. Bartels, Deb (2 March 2021). "Marty Jackley running for his old job of attorney general". www.capjournal.com. Capital Journal. Retrieved 28 December 2021.
  10. Heemstra, Jody (January 31, 2022). "Dusty Johnson announces he is running for re-election". DRG News. Retrieved January 31, 2022.
  11. Sand, Elisa (November 12, 2021). "'Democracy has to be the answer': Aberdeen man announces intention to run for U.S. Senate". Aberdeen News. Retrieved December 1, 2021.
  12. Lawrence, Tom (November 29, 2020). "Is it just a South Dakota political legend or eerie fate: Will Sen. John Thune end the 'Curse of Karl' in 2022?". The South Dakota Standard. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  13. "South Dakota Minority Leader Heinert passes on run for Governor, joining private sector after term".
  14. Woster, Kevin (February 23, 2022). "Sutton's political time will come again, but not just yet". South Dakota Public Broadcasting. Retrieved March 5, 2022.
  15. "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  16. "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  17. "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  18. "South Dakota Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  19. "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
Official campaign websites
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