2022 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
The 2022 Massachusetts gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Massachusetts. As Massachusetts does not have gubernatorial term limits, incumbent Republican Governor Charlie Baker was eligible to run for re-election. However, in a joint press statement with Lieutenant Governor Karyn Polito released on December 1, 2021, Baker announced he would not seek a third term while Polito announced she also would not seek re-election nor would she run to succeed him.[1][2]
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Republican primary
Declared
- Geoff Diehl, former state representative (2011–2019) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018 (running with Leah Cole Allen)[3][4]
- Chris Doughty, businessman (running with Kate Campanale)[5]
- Darius Mitchell, perennial candidate[6]
- Philip Mitza, running as a write-in candidate[7]
- Joselito Santiago Matias, tech support specialist[8]
Republican candidates[9][lower-alpha 1]
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Potential
- Mike Kennealy, Secretary of Housing and Economic Development for the Commonwealth of Massachusetts [10]
- Patrick O'Connor, state senator (2016–present)[11]
Withdrawn
- Kimberly Duffy, businesswoman[12]
Declined
- Charlie Baker, incumbent governor (2015–present)[1]
- Scott Brown, former U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2010–2013), former U.S. Ambassador to New Zealand and Samoa (2017–2020), and nominee for U.S. Senate from New Hampshire in 2014[13]
- Andrew Lelling, former United States Attorney for the District of Massachusetts (2017–2021)[14][15][16]
- Scott Lively, anti-gay activist, independent candidate for governor in 2014 and Republican candidate for governor in 2018[17]
- Shaunna O'Connell, mayor of Taunton (2020–present) and former state representative (2011-2020)[18][19]
- Karyn Polito, incumbent lieutenant governor (2015–present)[20][2]
- Jane Swift, former acting governor (2001–2003) and former lieutenant governor (1999–2003)[21]
Endorsements
Geoff Diehl
- Former federal officials
- Donald Trump, President of the United States (2017–2021)[22]
Chris Doughty
- State legislators
- Peter Durant, state representative
- Shawn Dooley, state representative[23]
- Jeanne Kangas, former vice chair of the Massachusetts Republican Party
- Michael Soter, state representative
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Charlie Baker |
Geoff Diehl |
Karyn Polito |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 1] | October 12–13, 2021 | 556 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 29% | 50% | – | 21% |
| Advantage, Inc. (R)[upper-alpha 2] | February 22–26, 2021 | 221 (LV) | ± 6.6% | – | 20% | 22% | 58% |
Declared
- Kate Campanale, former State Representative (2014–2019) (running with Chris Doughty)[24]
- Leah Cole, former State Representative (2013–2015) (running with Geoff Diehl)[4]
Republican candidates[lower-alpha 1]
Withdrew
- Ron Beaty, former Barnstable County commissioner (2017–2021)[25][26](announced run for Treasurer and Receiver-General then withdrew and is now running for Barnstable County Commission)[27]
- Rayla Campbell, write-in candidate for Massachusetts's 7th congressional district in 2020, (running for Secretary of the Commonwealth)[28]
Democratic primary
Declared
- Joshua Caldwell, lecturer at North Shore Community College[31]
- Sonia Chang-Díaz, state senator (2009–present)[32]
- Maura Healey, Attorney General of Massachusetts (2015–present)[33]
- Orlando Silva, owner of Pro Air Duct Cleaning[34]
Democratic candidates[lower-alpha 1]
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Formed exploratory committee
- Scott Khourie, finance executive[35]
Potential
- Michael G. Bellotti, Norfolk County Treasurer (2021–present), and former Norfolk County Sheriff (1999–2018)[10]
- Annissa Essaibi George, former at-large Boston city councilor (2016–2022) and candidate for mayor of Boston in 2021[36]
- Jay Gonzalez, former Secretary of Administration and Finance of Massachusetts (2009–2013) and Democratic nominee for governor in 2018[17]
- Alex Morse, former mayor of Holyoke (2012–2021), current town manager of Provincetown (2021–present), and candidate for Massachusetts's 1st congressional district in 2020[37]
- Tim Murray, former lieutenant governor of Massachusetts (2007–2013)[17]
Withdrawn
- Danielle Allen, political science professor at Harvard University[38][39]
- Scott Donohue, Melrose resident[40] (running for lieutenant governor)
- Benjamin Downing, former state senator (2007–2017)[41][42][43]
Declined
- Jake Auchincloss, U.S. Representative for Massachusetts's 4th congressional district (2021–present) (running for re-election)[44][45]
- Bob Rivers, Chairman and CEO of Eastern Bank[36]
- Mo Cowan, former U.S. Senator (2013)[46]
- Joseph Curtatone, former mayor of Somerville (2004–2022)[47][48][49]
- Michael Dukakis, former Governor of Massachusetts (1975–79, 1983–91) and 1988 Democratic nominee for President[50]
- Deb Goldberg, Treasurer and Receiver-General of Massachusetts (2015–present) (running for re-election)[51]
- Paul Heroux, mayor of Attleboro (2018–present) and former state representative (2013–2018) (running for Bristol County Sheriff)[52][53]
- Joe Kennedy III, former U.S. Representative for Massachusetts's 4th congressional district (2013–21) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[54][55]
- Joshua Kraft, CEO of the Kraft Foundation and son of Businessman Robert Kraft[36]
- Bob Massie, Democratic nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 1994 and candidate for Governor in 2018[17]
- Jon Mitchell, mayor of New Bedford (2011–present)[56]
- Richard Neal, U.S. Representative for Massachusetts's 1st congressional district (2013–present), former U.S. Representative for Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district (1989–2013) (running for re-election)[57][45]
- Ayanna Pressley, U.S. Representative for Massachusetts's 7th congressional district (2019–present) (running for re-election)[45]
- Marty Walsh, U.S. Secretary of Labor (2021–present) and former mayor of Boston (2014–2021)[58][59][60]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator (2013–present) and 2020 Democratic candidate for President[61]
Endorsements
Sonia Chang-Díaz
- State legislators
- Jamie Eldridge, state senator[62]
- Marcos Devers, state representative[63]
- Nika Elugardo, state representative[64]
- Carmine Gentile, state representative[65]
- Adam Gomez, state senator[66]
- Natalie Higgins, state representative[67]
- Mary Keefe, state representative[66]
- Edward J. Kennedy, state senator[65]
- Liz Miranda, state representative[62]
- Rebecca Rausch, state senator[62]
- Maria Robinson, state representative[68]
- Lindsay Sabadosa, state representative[68]
- Danillo Sena, state representative[68]
- Local officeholders
- Ricardo Arroyo, member of the Boston City Council for the 5th district[65]
- Felix D. Arroyo, Suffolk County Register of Probate[65]
- Kendra Lara, member of the Boston City Council[63]
- Julia Mejia, member of the Boston City Council[62]
- Individuals
- Bob Massie, co-founder of Global Reporting Initiative[69]
- Organizations
- People's Action[70]
- Progressive Massachusetts[71]
- Neighbor to Neighbor [72]
Maura Healey
- State legislators
- Unions
- Service Employees International Union Massachusetts State Council[74]
- Teamsters Local 25[75]
Declined to endorse
- State legislators
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Danielle Allen |
Sonia Chang-Díaz |
Maura Healey |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Lowell | April 2–11, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | 17% | 62% | 2% | 18% |
| MassINC Polling Group (D)[upper-alpha 3] | January 18–20, 2022 | 310 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 3% | 12% | 48% | 4% | 30% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Danielle Allen |
Charlie Baker[lower-alpha 3] |
Sonia Chang-Díaz |
Ben Downing |
Deb Goldberg |
Maura Healey |
Joe Kennedy III |
Ayanna Pressley |
Marty Walsh |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MassINC Polling Group (D)[upper-alpha 3] | January 18–20, 2022 | 310 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 2% | – | 8% | – | – | 31% | – | – | 32% | 2% | 22% |
| Advantage, Inc. (R)[upper-alpha 2] | February 22–26, 2021 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 2% | – | – | 2% | – | 35% | 22% | – | – | – | 39% |
| SurveyUSA (D)[upper-alpha 3] | August 12–16, 2020 | 558 (LV) | ± 4.1% | – | – | – | – | 3% | 25% | – | 13% | 25% | – | 34% |
| – | 62% | – | – | 1% | 13% | – | 7% | 4% | – | 13% | ||||
| Suffolk University | June 5–9, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | – | – | 34% | – | – | 36% | – | 30% |
Declared
- Bret Bero, Babson College lecturer and small business owner[76]
- Scott Donohue, Melrose resident[40]
- Kim Driscoll, mayor of Salem[77]
- Tami Gouveia, state representative[78][76]
- Adam G. Hinds, state senator[79][80][76][81]
- Eric Lesser, state senator[82][83][84]
Democratic candidates[85][lower-alpha 1]
Potential
- Manny Cruz, member of the Salem school committee[86]
- Angel Donahue-Rodriguez, deputy chief of staff to Massachusetts Bay Transportation Authority[87]
- Dan Koh, chief of staff to U.S. Labor Secretary Marty Walsh, former Andover selectman, and candidate for Massachusetts' 3rd congressional district in 2018[88]
Endorsements
Kim Driscoll
- State legislators
- Daniel Cahill, state representative[89]
- Carol A. Donovan, former state representative[89]
- Sally Kerans, state representative[89]
- Joan Lovely, state senator[89]
- Ron Mariano, Speaker of the Massachusetts House of Representatives[90]
- Paul Tucker, state representative[89]
- Local officials
- Kevin Coppinger, sheriff of Essex County[89]
- Labor unions
Tami Gouveia
- State legislators
- Carol Doherty, state representative[86]
- Michelle DuBois, state representative[86]
- Jamie Eldridge, state senator[92]
- Nika Elugardo, state representative[92]
- Carmine Gentile, state representative[86]
- Natalie Higgins, state representative[92]
- Jim Hawkins, state representative[92]
- Patrick J. Kearney, state representative[86]
- Dan Sena, state representative[92]
- Local officials
- Julia Mejia, Boston City Councillor[86]
Adam Hinds
- State legislators
- John Barrett, state representative[93]
- Natalie Blais, state representative[94]
- Jo Comerford, state senator[94]
- Mindy Domb, state representative[94]
- Anne Gobi, state senator[94]
- Adam Gomez, state senator[81]
- Stephen Kulik, former state representative[94]
- Jacob Oliveira, state representative[94]
- Smitty Pignatelli, state representative[93]
- Lindsay Sabadosa, state representative[94]
- Local officials
- Christopher Donelan, sheriff of Franklin County[94]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Kim Driscoll |
Tami Gouveia |
Adam Hinds |
Eric Lesser |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Lowell | April 2–11, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 22% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 2% | 49% |
| MassINC Polling Group (D)[upper-alpha 3] | January 18–20, 2022 | 310 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 64% |
Libertarian primary
Formed exploratory committee
- Kevin Reed (endorsed by state party)[95]
Withdrew
- Carlos Perez[96]
Independents
Declared
- Shiva Ayyadurai, lecturer, entrepreneur, conspiracy theorist, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and 2020 (unclear political affiliation)[97]
- Dianna Ploss, former radio host [98]
Independent candidates[lower-alpha 1]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[99] | Likely D (flip) | March 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[100] | Lean D (flip) | March 4, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[101] | Likely D (flip) | January 26, 2022 |
| Politico[102] | Likely D (flip) | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[103] | Likely D (flip) | January 10, 2022 |
Polling
- Geoff Diehl vs. Sonia Chang-Díaz
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Geoff Diehl (R) |
Sonia Chang-Díaz (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University | April 24–28, 2022 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 29% | 45% | 25% |
- Geoff Diehl vs. Maura Healey
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Geoff Diehl (R) |
Maura Healey (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University | April 24–28, 2022 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 27% | 54% | 19% |
- Chris Doughty vs. Sonia Chang-Díaz
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Chris Doughty (R) |
Sonia Chang-Díaz (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University | April 24–28, 2022 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 27% | 43% | 30% |
- Chris Doughty vs. Maura Healey
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Chris Doughty (R) |
Maura Healey (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University | April 24–28, 2022 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 25% | 55% | 21% |
Hypothetical polling
- Charlie Baker vs. Danielle Allen
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Charlie Baker (R) |
Danielle Allen (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov/UMass Amherst[lower-alpha 4] | November 9–16, 2021 | 750 (A) | ± 4.1% | 33% | 12% | 6%[lower-alpha 5] | 48% |
| 687 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 34% | 12% | 5%[lower-alpha 6] | 48% | ||
| YouGov/UMass Amherst[lower-alpha 4] | March 5–9, 2021 | 800 (A) | ± 4.6% | 30% | 14% | 8%[lower-alpha 7] | 48% |
| 756 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 31% | 14% | 6%[lower-alpha 5] | 49% |
- Charlie Baker vs. Sonia Chang-Díaz
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Charlie Baker (R) |
Sonia Chang-Díaz (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov/UMass Amherst[lower-alpha 4] | November 9–16, 2021 | 750 (A) | ± 4.1% | 35% | 16% | 9%[lower-alpha 8] | 41% |
| 687 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 16% | 7%[lower-alpha 9] | 41% | ||
| YouGov/UMass Amherst[lower-alpha 4] | March 5–9, 2021 | 800 (A) | ± 4.6% | 30% | 16% | 10%[lower-alpha 10] | 45% |
| 756 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 31% | 17% | 7%[lower-alpha 9] | 45% |
- Charlie Baker vs. Benjamin Downing
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Charlie Baker (R) |
Benjamin Downing (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov/UMass Amherst[lower-alpha 4] | November 9–16, 2021 | 750 (A) | ± 4.1% | 35% | 11% | 8%[lower-alpha 7] | 46% |
| 687 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 11% | 6%[lower-alpha 5] | 47% | ||
| YouGov/UMass Amherst[lower-alpha 4] | March 5–9, 2021 | 800 (A) | ± 4.6% | 30% | 11% | 8%[lower-alpha 7] | 51% |
| 756 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 31% | 12% | 6%[lower-alpha 5] | 51% |
- Charlie Baker vs. Maura Healey
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Charlie Baker (R) |
Maura Healey (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research/Northwind Strategies (D) | November 15–19, 2021 | 789 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 33% | 29% | – | 38% |
| YouGov/UMass Amherst[lower-alpha 4] | November 9–16, 2021 | 750 (A) | ± 4.1% | 33% | 27% | 11%[lower-alpha 11] | 30% |
| 687 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 34% | 28% | 9%[lower-alpha 8] | 29% | ||
| YouGov/UMass Amherst[lower-alpha 4] | March 5–9, 2021 | 800 (A) | ± 4.6% | 30% | 27% | 10%[lower-alpha 10] | 34% |
| 756 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 31% | 28% | 7%[lower-alpha 9] | 34% |
- Charlie Baker vs. Joe Kennedy III
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Charlie Baker (R) |
Joe Kennedy III (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research/Northwind Strategies (D) | November 15–19, 2021 | 789 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 36% | 30% | – | 34% |
| YouGov/UMass Amherst[lower-alpha 4] | March 5–9, 2021 | 800 (A) | ± 4.6% | 35% | 25% | 10%[lower-alpha 10] | 30% |
| 756 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 37% | 27% | 8%[lower-alpha 7] | 28% |
- Charlie Baker vs. Orlando Silva
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Charlie Baker (R) |
Orlando Silva (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov/UMass Amherst[lower-alpha 4] | November 9–16, 2021 | 750 (A) | ± 4.1% | 36% | 9% | 8%[lower-alpha 7] | 47% |
| 687 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 37% | 9% | 7%[lower-alpha 9] | 47% |
- Karyn Polito vs. Danielle Allen
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Karyn Polito (R) |
Danielle Allen (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov/UMass Amherst[lower-alpha 4] | November 9–16, 2021 | 750 (A) | ± 4.1% | 21% | 17% | 8%[lower-alpha 7] | 54% |
| 687 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 22% | 17% | 7%[lower-alpha 9] | 54% |
- Karyn Polito vs. Sonia Chang-Díaz
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Karyn Polito (R) |
Sonia Chang-Díaz (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov/UMass Amherst[lower-alpha 4] | November 9–16, 2021 | 750 (A) | ± 4.1% | 21% | 19% | 8%[lower-alpha 7] | 51% |
| 687 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 23% | 19% | 7%[lower-alpha 9] | 52% |
- Karyn Polito vs. Benjamin Downing
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Karyn Polito (R) |
Benjamin Downing (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov/UMass Amherst[lower-alpha 4] | November 9–16, 2021 | 750 (A) | ± 4.1% | 21% | 15% | 8%[lower-alpha 7] | 56% |
| 687 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 22% | 16% | 7%[lower-alpha 9] | 55% |
- Karyn Polito vs. Maura Healey
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Karyn Polito (R) |
Maura Healey (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research/Northwind Strategies (D) | November 15–19, 2021 | 789 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 21% | 42% | – | 37% |
| YouGov/UMass Amherst[lower-alpha 4] | November 9–16, 2021 | 750 (A) | ± 4.1% | 18% | 32% | 10%[lower-alpha 10] | 40% |
| 687 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 19% | 35% | 8%[lower-alpha 7] | 38% |
- Karyn Polito vs. Orlando Silva
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Karyn Polito (R) |
Orlando Silva (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov/UMass Amherst[lower-alpha 4] | November 9–16, 2021 | 750 (A) | ± 4.1% | 21% | 14% | 9%[lower-alpha 8] | 57% |
| 687 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 22% | 14% | 7%[lower-alpha 9] | 56% |
- Geoff Diehl vs. Maura Healey with Charlie Baker as an independent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Geoff Diehl (R) |
Maura Healey (D) |
Charlie Baker (I) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University | April 24–28, 2022 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 17% | 28% | 37% | 18% |
| Change Research/Northwind Strategies (D) | November 15–19, 2021 | 789 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 21% | 26% | 32% | 21% |
See also
Notes
- The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - As a candidate changing parties to run in the Democratic primary
- Candidates were listed without party affiliation, leading to a large number of respondents selecting neither candidate
- "Would Not Vote" with 6%
- "Would Not Vote" with 5%
- "Would Not Vote" with 8%
- "Would Not Vote" with 9%
- "Would Not Vote" with 7%
- "Would Not Vote" with 10%
- "Would Not Vote" with 11%
- Partisan clients
- This poll was sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association
- This poll was sponsored by the Massachusetts Fiscal Alliance, a Republican-aligned group
- This poll was sponsored by Priorities for Progress, a Democratic-aligned group
References
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External links
- Official campaign websites for gubernatorial candidates
- Joshua Caldwell (D) for Governor
- Sonia Chang-Díaz (D) for Governor
- Geoff Diehl (R) for Governor
- Chris Doughty (R) for Governor
- Maura Healey (D) for Governor
- Dianna Ploss (I) for Governor
- Orlando Silva (D) for Governor
- Official campaign websites for lieutenant gubernatorial candidates
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