2022 Michigan gubernatorial election

The 2022 Michigan gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Michigan. Incumbent Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer is running for re-election to a second term. The deadline for candidates to file for the August 2 primary was April 19.[1]

See also: 2022 United States gubernatorial elections

2022 Michigan gubernatorial election
November 8, 2022
 
Nominee Gretchen Whitmer
(presumptive)		 TBD
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Garlin Gilchrist
(presumptive)		 TBD
Incumbent Governor

Gretchen Whitmer
Democratic


Elections in Michigan
Federal government
U.S. President
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
State government
State elections
Gubernatorial elections
Attorney General elections
Secretary of State elections
Auditor General elections
State Senate elections
State House elections
Ballot measures
1996
Proposal E
2004
Proposal 04-2
2006
Proposal 06-2
2012
Proposal 1
Proposal 2
Proposal 3
Proposal 4
Proposal 5
Proposal 6
2015
Proposal 1
2018
Proposal 1
Proposal 2
Proposal 3
2020
Proposal 1
Proposal 2
Detroit
Mayoral elections
Flint
Mayoral elections
Grand Rapids
Mayoral elections
Lansing
Mayoral elections

Democratic primary

Presumptive nominee

Endorsements
Gretchen Whitmer
Organizations

Results
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gretchen Whitmer (incumbent)
Total votes

Republican primary

Declared

Failed to qualify
  • Bob Scott, Jelly Maker and Vice President of the Evangelical Alliance Ministerial Association[10][20]
  • Evan Space, Michigan Army National Guard veteran and candidate for governor in 2018[21][22][23]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements
Mike Brown
Individuals
Tudor Dixon
Executive officials
  • Richard Grenell, political operative, diplomat, TV personality and public relations consultant[51]
U.S. Representatives
State Senators
Organizations
Perry Johnson
U.S. Representatives

Polling
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Brown		 Austin
Chenge		 James
Craig		 Tudor
Dixon		 Perry
Johnson		 Ryan
Kelley		 Kevin
Rinke		 Garrett
Soldano		 Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) March 29–31, 2022 1,072 (LV) ± 3.0% 2% – 34% 3% 16% 7% 2% 15% 8% 12%
March 3, 2022 Chenge withdraws from the race
Mitchell Research (R) February 17–19, 2022 539 (LV) ± 4.2% 3% – 32% 4% 3% 4% 5% 10% 3% 37%
Strategic National (R)[upper-alpha 1] September 18–19, 2021 400 (LV) ± 4.9% – 2% 38% 1% – 1% 0% 8% – 50%
– – 40% 1% – – 0% 10% – 49%
Hypothetical polling
John James vs. James Craig
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 John
James		 James
Craig		 Undecided
Target-Insyght May 9–11, 2021 304 (RV) ± 3.5% 36% 21% 42%

Results
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Donna Brandenburg
Republican Mike Brown
Republican James Craig
Republican Tudor Dixon
Republican Perry Johnson
Republican Ryan D. Kelley
Republican Michael Jay Markey, Jr.
Republican Ralph Rebandt
Republican Kevin Rinke
Republican Garrett Soldano
Total votes

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[57] Tossup March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[58] Tilt D March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[59] Lean D January 26, 2022
Politico[60] Lean D April 1, 2022
RCP[61] Tossup January 10, 2022

Endorsements
Gretchen Whitmer (D)
Organizations

Polling
Gretchen Whitmer vs. James Craig
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		 James
Craig (R)		 Undecided
Blueprint Polling (D) February 1–4, 2022 632 (LV) ± 3.9% 44% 44% 12%
EPIC-MRA January 15–20, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 41% 13%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. January 3–7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 39% 12%
ARW Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 1] January 4–6, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 46% 8%
Strategic National (R)[upper-alpha 1] September 18–19, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 46% 7%
The Trafalgar Group (R) September 13–15, 2021 1,097 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 50% 5%
EPIC-MRA August 9–15, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 44% 11%
Competitive Edge Research & Communication (R)[upper-alpha 2] May 26 – June 4, 2021 809 (LV) ± 4.0% 38% 45% –
Target-Insyght May 9–11, 2021 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 42% 10%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Tudor Dixon
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		 Tudor
Dixon (R)		 Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc. January 3–7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 31% 19%
Strategic National (R)[upper-alpha 1] September 18–19, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 41% 13%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Kevin Rinke
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		 Kevin
Rinke (R)		 Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc. January 3–7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 33% 17%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Garrett Soldano
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		 Garrett
Soldano (R)		 Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc. January 3–7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 33% 17%
Hypothetical polling
Gretchen Whitmer vs. John James
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		 John
James (R)		 Undecided
Competitive Edge Research & Communication (R)[upper-alpha 2] May 26 – June 4, 2021 809 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 45% 5%
Target-Insyght May 9–11, 2021 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 39% 12%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Candice Miller
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		 Candice
Miller (R)		 Other Undecided
EPIC-MRA February 19–25, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 45% – 9%
Denno Research December 14–15, 2020 600 (V) ± 4.0% 46% 42% 13%[lower-alpha 2] –
Gretchen Whitmer vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		 Generic
Republican		 Undecided
Cygnal (R) June 2–6, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 52% 7%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. generic opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		 Generic
Opponent		 Undecided
Glengariff Group/The Detroit News February 3–6, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 41%[lower-alpha 3] 20%[lower-alpha 4]

Results
2022 Michigan gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gretchen Whitmer (incumbent)
Republican TBD
Total votes 100.00%

Notes
  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Includes Undecided
  3. "Elect someone new" as opposed to "re-elect Whitmer" with 41%
  4. "It depends" with 14%; Undecided with 6%
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by Craig's campaign
  2. This poll was sponsored by the Michigan Republican Party

References
  1. https://www.michigan.gov/documents/sos/2022_Election_Dates_Booklet_738675_7.pdf
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Official campaign websites
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