2022 United States Senate election in Wisconsin

The 2022 United States Senate election in Wisconsin is scheduled for November 8, 2022 to elect a member of the United States Senate from Wisconsin.

For related races, see 2022 United States Senate elections.

2022 United States Senate election in Wisconsin
November 8, 2022
 
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

Ron Johnson
Republican


Elections in Wisconsin
Federal government
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Referendum 1
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Incumbent Republican Senator Ron Johnson was first elected in 2010. In 2016, he was reelected with 50.17% of the vote against Democrat Russ Feingold, Johnson's predecessor. In 2016, Johnson pledged to serve only two terms; however he broke that pledge and is running for re-election to a third term.[1]

Wisconsin's Senate seat is expected to be one of the most heavily targeted by national Democrats in 2022 for a potential flip. The Democratic Party has seen considerable success in recent statewide elections, notably including the 2018 Wisconsin elections (when Democrats won every statewide contest on the ballot, including the state's other Senate seat) and the 2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin that was won by Democrat Joe Biden,[2] although former Republican President Donald Trump won the state in 2016.

Republican primary

Declared
  • John Berman, electronic hardware design, test engineer and candidate for U.S. Senate (Minnesota and Kansas) in 2020[3][4]
  • Brad Beyer, U.S. Army veteran[5][6]
  • Ron Johnson, incumbent U.S. Senator (2011–present)[1]
Republican candidates[lower-alpha 1]

Filed paperwork
  • Keith Neubert, paramedic[7]

Declined

Endorsements
Ron Johnson
U.S. Executive Branch Officials
Federal officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
Organizations

Democratic primary

Declared
Democratic candidates[lower-alpha 1]
  • CEO of Millenial Action Project
    Steven Olikara
    from Madison
  • Attorney
    Peter Peckarsky
    from
    Milwaukee
  • Disability rights activist
    Jeff Rumbaugh
    from Madison
  • Emergency administrator
    Darrell Williams
    from Milwaukee

Potential

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements
Mandela Barnes
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Sarah Godlewski
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Alex Lasry
State legislators
Judicial officials
Local officials
Party officials
Organizations
Tom Nelson
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Individuals
Steven Olikara
State officials
State legislators
Individuals
Chris Larson (Withdrawn)
Individuals
Declined to endorse
Governors

Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Mandela
Barnes		 Sarah
Godlewski		 Alex
Lasry		 Tom
Nelson		 Other Undecided
Marquette University April 19–24, 2022 311 (LV) ± 6.6% 19% 7% 16% 5% 2%[lower-alpha 3] 49%
Impact Research (D)[upper-alpha 1] March 16–23, 2022 449 (LV) ± 4.6% 38% 9% 17% 8% 3% 26%
Normington Petts (D)[upper-alpha 2] February 23–27, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 35% 7% 27% 7% – 24%
Marquette University February 22–27, 2022 362 (LV) ± 5.7% 23% 3% 13% 5% 5%[lower-alpha 4] 49%
Impact Research (D)[upper-alpha 1] December 8–16, 2021 842 (LV) ± 3.4% 40% 10% 11% 8% 3% 29%
Data for Progress (D)[upper-alpha 3] November 11–15, 2021 524 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 5% 16% 6% 5%[lower-alpha 5] 29%
Normington Petts (D)[upper-alpha 2] November 2021 – (LV) – 37% 5% 15% 7% – 36%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[upper-alpha 1] August 28–30, 2021 698 (LV) ± 3.7% 37% 7% 5% 8% 3%[lower-alpha 6] 38%
Normington Petts (D)[upper-alpha 2] August 2021 – (LV) – 43% 5% 4% 7% – 41%

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[102] Tossup March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[103] Tilt R April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[104] Lean R March 1, 2022
Politico[105] Tossup April 1, 2022
RCP[106] Tossup January 10, 2022

Polling
Ron Johnson vs. Mandela Barnes
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Ron
Johnson (R)		 Mandela
Barnes (D)		 Undecided
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[upper-alpha 1] September 8–11, 2021 756 (LV) ± 3.6% 43% 43% –
Ron Johnson vs. Sarah Godlewski
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Ron
Johnson (R)		 Sarah
Godlewski (D)		 Undecided
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[upper-alpha 1] September 8–11, 2021 756 (LV) ± 3.6% 44% 41% –
Ron Johnson vs. Alex Lasry
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Ron
Johnson (R)		 Alex
Lasry (D)		 Undecided
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[upper-alpha 1] September 8–11, 2021 756 (LV) ± 3.6% 45% 41% –
Ron Johnson vs. Tom Nelson
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Ron
Johnson (R)		 Tom
Nelson (D)		 Undecided
Change Research (D)[upper-alpha 4] March 25–27, 2021 1,723 (LV) ± 2.6% 44% 48% 5%

Notes
  1. The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Lewis and Peckarsky with 1%; Murphy and Williams with 0%
  4. Lewis and Murphy with 2%; Battino with 1%; Pecarsky and Williams with 0%
  5. "A different candidate" with 3%; Battino and Murphy with 1%; Olikara with 0%
  6. Battino, Lewis, and Olikara with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. Poll conducted for Barnes's campaign
  2. Poll conducted for Lasry's campaign
  3. Poll conducted for Way to Lead
  4. This poll was sponsored by Nelson's campaign

References
  1. "Source: U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson to run for reelection". wisn.com. Retrieved January 7, 2022.
  2. Greenwood, Max (January 1, 2021). "Seven Senate Races to Watch in 2022". The Hill. Archived from the original on January 1, 2021. Retrieved January 1, 2021.
  3. "July 30, 2021 Letter to Ron Johnson: Declaration of Candidacy". www.John4Midwest.com. Archived from the original on October 31, 2021. Retrieved October 27, 2021.
  4. "Berman, John Candidate for Senate Wisconsin ID: S2WI00425 Republican Party". www.fec.gov. Archived from the original on October 30, 2021. Retrieved October 27, 2021.
  5. "FILING FEC-1540283". www.fec.gov. Retrieved October 4, 2021.
  6. Vian, Jourdan (October 13, 2021). "Republican Brad Beyer joins race to represent Wisconsin in U.S. Senate". News8000.com.
  7. "Democratic millennial leader joins Wisconsin U.S. Senate race". WSAW. August 18, 2021.
  8. Schenek, Dan; Sorgi, Jay (March 17, 2017). "Kenosha County Sheriff David Beth says he may run for U.S. Senate seat in 5 years". Radio 620 WTMJ. Archived from the original on March 22, 2017. Retrieved March 21, 2017.
  9. Stump, Scott (August 26, 2019). "Congressman Sean Duffy reveals 9th child has 'holes in heart'". Today. Associated Press. Retrieved January 25, 2021.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  10. Bauer, Scott (January 6, 2022). "Duffy ignores Trump plea, won't run for Wisconsin governor". Star Tribune. Associated Press. Archived from the original on January 6, 2022. Retrieved January 7, 2022.
  11. Vetterkind, Riley (November 5, 2020). "Need more scares after Halloween? The next election in Wisconsin has already started". Wisconsin State Journal. Archived from the original on November 2, 2020.
  12. Manchester, Julia (August 1, 2021). "Wisconsin GOP quietly prepares Ron Johnson backup plans". The Hill. Archived from the original on August 1, 2021. Retrieved August 2, 2021.
  13. "Three-quarters of states will elect governors in the next 2 years. Here's a field guide". POLITICO. Retrieved December 16, 2020.
  14. Marley, Patrick; Glauber, Bill; Beck, Molly. "Rebecca Kleefisch announces her run for Wisconsin governor". www.jsonline.com. Retrieved September 9, 2021.
  15. Kelly Meyerhofer (July 18, 2019). "Scott Walker takes new job, says he won't run for office in 2022". Wisconsin State Journal.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  16. Bauer, Scott. "Trump endorses Wisconsin Sen. Ron Johnson, encourages him to run in 2022". chicagotribune.com. Retrieved April 8, 2021.
  17. "Johnson campaign: Receives endorsement of Nikki Haley". www.wispolitics.com. Wispolitics.com. Retrieved March 20, 2022.
  18. Chuck Grassley [@GrassleyWorks] (January 9, 2022). "Senator @RonJohnsonWI and I work together to hold the @FBI and DOJ accountable to the people. Ron is tenacious at government oversight and there's important info to uncover, now more than ever. #WISen" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  19. Mike Gallagher [@MikeforWI] (January 9, 2022). "I am proud to support @RonJohnsonWI's re-election to the United States Senate. He loves this country and will beat any of the far-Left candidates whose radical policies are out of touch with reality. t.co/dsbTNjVYRg" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  20. Bryan Steil [@BryanSteil] (January 9, 2022). "Good news, Ron Johnson is running. When re-elected Senator Johnson will continue working for our state, our nation, and our freedoms!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  21. Tom Tiffany [@TomTiffanyWI] (January 9, 2022). "Good news for Wisconsin and America! If you think police should be funded. Prosecutors should prosecute. Borders should be respected. Inflation should be reigned in and children should be in school Ron is your candidate. Underdog 2010. Underdog 2016. Underdog 2022" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  22. Kleefisch, Rebecca [@RebeccaforReal] (January 9, 2022). "Run, @RonJohnsonWI, run! Now more than ever we need strong conservative leaders who are willing to stand up to Joe Biden and the Left" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 15, 2022. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
  23. Senate Republicans [@NRSC] (January 10, 2022). "Yesterday, @RonJohnsonWI announced he will seek a third term and we are proud to fully support his re-election campaign. t.co/czwzKSGN5y" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 11, 2022. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
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  28. Bauer, Scott (February 17, 2021). "Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry announces Senate run". Wisconsin State Journal. Retrieved February 17, 2021.
  29. The Obama White House archive, 'Alexander Lasry - Special Assistant to the Counselor for Strategic Engagement to the Senior Advisor' https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/blog/author/alexander-lasry
  30. "Kou Lee, first Hmong candidate running for U.S. Senate in Wisconsin". SHB News. September 17, 2021.
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  38. "Rep. Ron Kind announces retirement in boon to GOP's House hopes". POLITICO.
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  40. Glauber, Will (February 23, 2022). "Gillian Battino drops Senate bid, run for Wisconsin state treasurer". www.jsonline.com. Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved February 25, 2022.
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  42. "State Sen. Chris Larson ends run for U.S. Senate, endorses Mandela Barnes". WTMJ-TV. August 3, 2021. Archived from the original on August 3, 2021. Retrieved August 3, 2021.
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  53. Barnes, Mandela (March 1, 2022). "Barnes Campaign: Wisconsin Rep. Francesca Hong endorses Mandela Barnes for U.S. Senate". Retrieved January 24, 2022.
  54. Barnes, Mandela (March 1, 2022). "Barnes campaign: Wisconsin Rep. Gary Hebl joins over 120 state and local officials to endorse Mandela Barnes for U.S. Senate". Retrieved January 24, 2022.
  55. "Dane County Executive Joe Parisi endorses Mandela Barnes for Senate". madison.com. August 12, 2021. Retrieved August 14, 2021.
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  68. "Godlewski campaign: 16 western Wisconsin leaders endorse for U.S. Senate". www.wispolitics.com. Wispolitics.com. June 24, 2021. Retrieved February 26, 2022.
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  74. "Rep. Shelia Stubbs endorses Alex Lasry". Urban Milwaukee. April 15, 2021. Retrieved June 6, 2021.
  75. "We Support Alex". Lasry for Senate. February 26, 2022. Retrieved February 26, 2022.
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  78. "IATSE local 18 endorses for U.S. Senate". Wispolitics.com. June 8, 2021. Retrieved June 10, 2021.
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  84. Nelson, Tom [@NelsonforWI] (December 29, 2021). "I'm honored to have the support of all of these wonderful individuals. These leaders know my record on making real change in people's lives, and that I will always prioritize Wisconsin over Wall Street when I get to the U.S. Senate. #WISen t.co/eLEPA6A9S2" (Tweet). Archived from the original on December 29, 2021. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
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  86. Manchester, Julia (November 11, 2021). "Sunrise Wisconsin endorses Tom Nelson in Democratic Senate primary". Retrieved November 11, 2021.
  87. Otterbein, Holly (April 28, 2022). "Pro-Bernie group endorses in key Dem Senate primary". Retrieved April 28, 2022.
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  90. Nelson, Tom [@NelsonforWI] (December 16, 2021). "Extremely honored to have the support of the United Electrical Workers - Western Region! My cousins were members of this union when Allen-Bradley was still in Milwaukee, making this endorsement that much more meaningful. t.co/mlNrh8DFph" (Tweet). Archived from the original on December 18, 2021. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
  91. "Nelson campaign: Tom Nelson endorsed by steelworkers local union from paper mill they fought to save". www.wispolitics.com. Wispolitics.com. Retrieved April 18, 2022.
  92. "Nelson Campaign: Distinguished progressive intellectual Harvey J. Kaye endorses Tom Nelson for Senate". www.wispolitics.com. Wispolitics.com. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
  93. "Marianne Williamson endorses Tom Nelson in Wisconsin Senate race". The Hill. Retrieved March 15, 2022.
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  95. "Nelson campaign: OPCMIA Local 599 and labor leaders endorse Tom Nelson for U.S. Senate". Wispolitics.com (Press release). September 13, 2021.
  96. Nelson, Tom (December 28, 2021). "Influential Indigenous Journalist Paul DeMain Endorses Tom Nelson for U.S. Senate". Urban Milwaukee (Press release). Retrieved December 28, 2021.
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  98. Intern. "Olikara campaign: Announces U.S. Senate campaign | WisPolitics.com". Retrieved October 19, 2021.
  99. Bentley, Drake. "Akon, yes that Akon, seems to be interested in Wisconsin's U.S. Senate race". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved October 19, 2021.
  100. "Marianne Williamson's Candidate Summit". Candidate Summit. Retrieved July 8, 2021.
  101. Marley, Patrick (March 17, 2022). "Tony Evers isn't endorsing in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate". www.jsonline.com. Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel. Archived from the original on March 20, 2022. Retrieved March 20, 2022.
  102. "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  103. "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  104. "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
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  106. "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
Official campaign websites
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