2023 Oyo State gubernatorial election
The 2023 Oyo State gubernatorial election will take place on 11 March 2023, to elect the Governor of Oyo State, concurrent with elections to the Oyo State House of Assembly as well as twenty-seven other gubernatorial elections and elections to all other state houses of assembly.[1][2] The election will be held two weeks after the presidential election and National Assembly elections. Incumbent PDP Governor Seyi Makinde is running for re-election.
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Electoral system
The Governor of Oyo State is elected using a modified two-round system. To be elected in the first round, a candidate must receive the plurality of the vote and over 25% of the vote in at least two-thirds of state local government areas. If no candidate passes this threshold, a second round will be held between the top candidate and the next candidate to have received a plurality of votes in the highest number of local government areas.
Primary elections
The primaries, along with any potential challenges to primary results, will take place between 4 April and 3 June 2022.[2]
All Progressives Congress
Analysts view the APC gubernatorial primary as a likely contest between the preexisting major factions within the Oyo State APC, namely: the faction led by Oyo Central Senator and likely candidate Teslim Folarin and the Unity Forum which is backed by most other likely major candidates including Oyo North Senator Abdulfatai Buhari and 2019 APC nominee Adebayo Adelabu. Tensions between the factions reached a head days before the APC national convention in March 2022 when the Unity Forum held a parallel party congress and elected separate leadership to the Folarin-supported bloc's congress;[3] although the national party ended up accepting the congress by Folarin's faction, tensions have continued as the Unity Forum attempts to gain control.[4][5][6]
On 20 April 2022, the APC National Executive Committee announced the party's schedule for gubernatorial primaries, setting its expression of interest form price at ₦10 million and nomination form price at ₦40 million with a 50% nomination form discount for candidates younger than 40 while women and candidates with disabilities get free nomination forms. Forms are to be sold from 26 April until 6 May; after the submission of nomination forms by 10 May, candidates are to be screened by a party committee on 12 May while 14 May is the date for the screening appeal process. Ward congresses and LGA congresses are set for between 7 and 9 May to elect delegates for the primary. Candidates approved by the screening process will advance to a primary set for 18 May, in concurrence with other APC gubernatorial primaries; challenges to the result can be made on 20 May.[7][8][9]
Declared
- Hakeem Alao: 2019 AD gubernatorial nominee[10]
- Abdulfatai Buhari: Senator for Oyo North (2015–present) and former House of Representatives member for Ogbomoso North/Ogbomoso South/Orire (2003–2007)[11]
- Abisoye Fagade: businessman[12]
Withdrew
- Joseph Olasunkanmi Tegbe: 2019 APC gubernatorial candidate (defected prior to the primary to run in the PDP Oyo Central senatorial primary)[13]
Potential
- Adebayo Adelabu: 2019 APC gubernatorial nominee and former CBN Deputy Governor of Operations (2014–2018)[14]
- Adeolu Akande: Nigerian Communications Commission Chairman (2020–present) and former Chief of Staff to former Governor Abiola Ajimobi[14][15]
- Adeniyi Akintola: former House of Assembly member and husband of state High Court judge Rachael Boyede Akintola
- Teslim Folarin: Senator for Oyo Central (2003–2011; 2019–present) and 2015 PDP gubernatorial nominee[14][16]
- Abdur-Raheem Adebayo Shittu: former Minister of Communications (2015–2019), 2015 and 2019 APC gubernatorial candidate, former Commissioner for Justice and Attorney General, and former House of Assembly member[5]
People's Democratic Party
Despite rumors about a potential presidential campaign, Makinde declined to contest for the presidency and instead announced his campaign for re-election to the office of governor;[17] analysts state that he is the prohibitive favorite in the PDP gubernatorial primary.[5]
On 16 March 2022, the national PDP announced its gubernatorial primaries' schedule, setting its expression of interest form price at ₦1 million and the nomination form price at ₦20 million with a 50% discount for candidates between 25 and 30. Forms were to be sold until 1 April but the party later extended the deadline four times before reaching a final deadline of 22 April. After the submission of nomination forms by 25 April, candidates are to be screened by a party committee on 28 April while 2 May is the rescheduled date for the screening appeal process. Ward congresses are set for 29 April and LGA congresses are set for 5 May to elect delegates for the primary.[18] Candidates approved by the screening process will advance to a primary set for 21 May, in concurrence with all other PDP gubernatorial primaries; challenges to the result can be made on 24 May.[19][20]
Purchased forms
- Hazeem Gbolarumi: former Deputy Governor (2007–2011)[21][22]
- Seyi Makinde: Governor (2019–present) and 2015 SDP gubernatorial nominee[23][22]
Withdrew
- Olukayode Joshua Popoola: engineer (defected prior to the primary to run in the NNPP gubernatorial primary)[24]
Declined
- Rauf Olaniyan: Deputy Governor (2019–present)[25]
References
- Oyekanmi, Rotimi (26 February 2022). "It's Official: 2023 Presidential, National Assembly Elections to Hold Feb 25". INEC News. Retrieved 27 February 2022.
- Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
- Akinlotan, Olasunkanmi. "National convention: Oyo APC breaks into factions hours to convention". Premium Times. Retrieved 15 April 2022.
- "Senator Teslim Folarin Takes over APC in Oyo". ThisDay. Retrieved 18 April 2022.
- Oladele, Bisi. "In Oyo, it's a dull journey to 2023". The Nation. Retrieved 15 April 2022.
- Adeyemi, Muyiwa. "Oyo APC crisis will soon be over, Senator Buhari asserts". The Guardian. Retrieved 15 April 2022.
- Majeed, Bakare (20 April 2022). "UPDATED: 2023: APC fixes presidential forms for N100 million, adopts indirect primaries". Premium Times. Retrieved 20 April 2022.
- Angbulu, Stephen; Ayeni, Victor; Dada, Peter; Naku, Dennis; Ede, Raphael (21 April 2022). "Presidential primary: APC silent on zoning, Nigerians condemn N100m nomination fee". The Punch. Retrieved 21 April 2022.
- APC Nigeria [@OfficialAPCNg] (April 25, 2022). "OFFICIAL" (Tweet). Retrieved 26 April 2022 – via Twitter.
- Adebayo, Musliudeen. "Oyo 2023: Ex-Alliance for Democracy chieftain, Hakeem Alao joins APC guber race". Daily Post. Retrieved 25 April 2022.
- "Why I Want To Govern Oyo – Fatai Buhari Unfolds 2023 Ambition". InsideOyo. Retrieved 15 April 2022.
- BHM [@bhmng] (March 9, 2022). "While giving his speech, @saltofdworld announced the official launch of his foundation, OSMD Network — he also declared his intention to contest for the Gubernatorial seat in Oyo State. #OSMD #OSMDNetwork" (Tweet). Retweeted by Abisoye Fagade. Retrieved 15 April 2022 – via Twitter.
- Badru, Adeola. "2023: Oyo APC guber aspirant, Tegbe dumps party for PDP". Vanguard. Retrieved 15 April 2022.
- Alasela, Bimbo. "Who Gets Oyo APC Guber Ticket In 2023?". Nigerian Tribune. Retrieved 2 August 2021.
- "2023: APC Elders Endorse Akande for Governor". ThisDay. Retrieved 2 August 2021.
- Mudashir, Ismail; Salau, Abdullateef. "10 Senators Eyeing Gov'ship Seats In 2023". Daily Trust. Retrieved 10 July 2021.
- Sulaimon, Nimot. "I have no presidential ambition in 2023 – Makinde". P.M. News. Retrieved 15 April 2022.
- Angbulu, Stephen (21 April 2022). "2023: PDP extends sale of forms for fourth time". The Punch. Retrieved 21 April 2022.
- Yakubu, Dirisu (16 March 2022). "[BREAKING] 2023: PDP Presidential primary holds in May". Vanguard. Abuja. Retrieved 7 April 2022.
- Akpan, Samuel (17 March 2022). "2023: PDP releases pre-election schedule, fixes presidential primary poll for May 28". TheCable. Retrieved 7 April 2022.
- Ojoye, Taiwo. "Makinde will be voted out in 2023 – Ex-deputy gov Gbolarumi". The Punch. Retrieved 6 March 2022.
- "PDP screens 48 aspirants for governor in S'West, S'East". The Nation. Retrieved 29 April 2022.
Governor Seyi Makinde and Hazeem Gbolarumi are from Oyo State.
- "Makinde declares second term bid, lists achievements". The Punch. News Agency of Nigeria. Retrieved 7 April 2022.
- Adebayo, Musliudeen. "Oyo 2023: PDP guber aspirant, Popoola, Olopoeyan join NNPP". Daily Post. Retrieved 11 April 2022.
- Oyewale, Wale (16 December 2020). "Makinde's deputy disowns posters of governorship intention". The Punch. Ibadan. Retrieved 15 April 2022.