2023 Ogun State gubernatorial election

The 2023 Ogun State gubernatorial election will take place on 11 March 2023, to elect the Governor of Ogun State, concurrent with elections to the Ogun State House of Assembly as well as twenty-seven other gubernatorial elections and elections to all other state houses of assembly.[1][2] The election will be held two weeks after the presidential election and National Assembly elections. Incumbent APC Governor Dapo Abiodun has announced his candidacy for re-election.

2023 Ogun State gubernatorial election
11 March 2023
 
Party APC PDP
Governor before election

Dapo Abiodun
APC

 Elected Governor

TBD
TBD

Electoral system

The governor of Ogun State is elected using a modified two-round system. To be elected in the first round, a candidate must receive the plurality of the vote and over 25% of the vote in at least two-thirds of state local government areas. If no candidate passes this threshold, a second round will be held between the top candidate and the next candidate to have received a plurality of votes in the highest number of local government areas.

Primary elections

The primaries, along with any potential challenges to primary results, will take place between 4 April and 3 June 2022.[2]

APC

Analysts view the APC gubernatorial primary as a likely battle between factions within the Ogun APC, namely: the faction led by former Governor and current Ogun Central Senator Ibikunle Amosun, former Governor Olusegun Osoba's group, former Governor Gbenga Daniel's faction, incumbent Governor Dapo Abiodun's bloc, and the group of former Lagos West Senator Solomon Olamilekan Adeola. The two most powerful groups appear to be the Abiodun and Amosun factions, the same groups from the 2019 primary where Abiodun prevailed and much of Amosun's faction temporarily left to run under the Allied Peoples Movement. Tensions between the factions reached a head in late 2021 when Amosun's faction held a parallel party conference and elected separate leadership to Abiodun's bloc; national APC leadership later accepted the results of the Abiodun factional congress as legitimate.[3][4][5] Despite this setback, Amosun's allies continued their efforts to unseat Abiodun as both Adekunle Akinlade and Ramoni Olalekan Mustapha prepare to challenge him.[6]

On 20 April 2022, the APC National Executive Committee announced the party's schedule for gubernatorial primaries, setting its expression of interest form price at ₦10 million and nomination form price at ₦40 million with a 50% nomination form discount for candidates younger than 40 while women and candidates with disabilities get free nomination forms. Forms are to be sold from 26 April until 6 May; after the submission of nomination forms by 10 May, candidates are to be screened by a party committee on 12 May while 14 May is the date for the screening appeal process. Ward congresses and LGA congresses are set for between 7 and 9 May to elect delegates for the primary. Candidates approved by the screening process will advance to a primary set for 18 May, in concurrence with other APC gubernatorial primaries; challenges to the result can be made on 20 May.[7][8][9]

Declared
  • Dapo Abiodun: Governor (2019–present)[10]
  • Modele Sarafa-Yusuf: journalist and former Abiodun aide[11]

Potential

Declined

People's Democratic Party

On 16 March 2022, the national PDP announced its gubernatorial primaries' schedule, setting its expression of interest form price at ₦1 million and the nomination form price at ₦20 million with a 50% discount for candidates between 25 and 30. Forms were to be sold until 1 April but the party later extended the deadline four times before reaching a final deadline of 22 April. After the submission of nomination forms by 25 April, candidates are to be screened by a party committee on 28 April while 2 May is the rescheduled date for the screening appeal process. Ward congresses are set for 29 April and LGA congresses are set for 5 May to elect delegates for the primary.[15] Candidates approved by the screening process will advance to a primary set for 21 May, in concurrence with all other PDP gubernatorial primaries; challenges to the result can be made on 24 May.[16][17]

Purchased forms

Withdrew

See also

References
  1. Oyekanmi, Rotimi (26 February 2022). "It's Official: 2023 Presidential, National Assembly Elections to Hold Feb 25". INEC News. Retrieved 27 February 2022.
  2. Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  3. Akinfenwa, Gbenga. "Ogun 2023: Battle for APC political structure intensifies". The Guardian. Retrieved 9 November 2021.
  4. Adejobi, John. "2023 Ogun guber race: Who holds the ace?". The Nation. Retrieved 23 December 2021.
  5. "2023: Abiodun Holds the Ace in Ogun APC". ThisDay. Retrieved 6 April 2022.
  6. Odufowokan, 'Dare. "Ogun: A looming battle of groups". The Nation. Retrieved 28 March 2022.
  7. Majeed, Bakare (20 April 2022). "UPDATED: 2023: APC fixes presidential forms for N100 million, adopts indirect primaries". Premium Times. Retrieved 20 April 2022.
  8. Angbulu, Stephen; Ayeni, Victor; Dada, Peter; Naku, Dennis; Ede, Raphael (21 April 2022). "Presidential primary: APC silent on zoning, Nigerians condemn N100m nomination fee". The Punch. Retrieved 21 April 2022.
  9. APC Nigeria [@OfficialAPCNg] (April 25, 2022). "OFFICIAL" (Tweet). Retrieved 26 April 2022 – via Twitter.
  10. Adewole, Segun. "2023: Gov Abiodun declares for second term". The Punch. Retrieved 29 April 2022.
  11. Olatunji, Daud. "Ogun 2023: Abiodun's ex-media aide joins governorship race". The Punch. Retrieved 2 March 2022.
  12. Akinfenwa, Gbenga. "Time tolls for Ogun APC as 2023 challenges fester". The Guardian. Retrieved 2 August 2021.
  13. Oludare, Ishola. "Crisis brews in APC as Lagos Senator declares for Ogun senatorial seat". Daily Post. Retrieved 13 April 2022.
  14. Moses, Peter. "2023: Gboyega Isiaka Joins Ogun Senatorial Race". Daily Trust. Retrieved 24 April 2022.
  15. Angbulu, Stephen (21 April 2022). "2023: PDP extends sale of forms for fourth time". The Punch. Retrieved 21 April 2022.
  16. Yakubu, Dirisu (16 March 2022). "[BREAKING] 2023: PDP Presidential primary holds in May". Vanguard. Abuja. Retrieved 7 April 2022.
  17. Akpan, Samuel (17 March 2022). "2023: PDP releases pre-election schedule, fixes presidential primary poll for May 28". TheCable. Retrieved 7 April 2022.
  18. Agwaibor, Stephen. "Adebutu picks governorship form, says no crisis in Ogun PDP". The Punch. Retrieved 17 March 2022.
  19. "PDP screens 48 aspirants for governor in S'West, S'East". The Nation. Retrieved 29 April 2022. Ogun aspirants are Segun Sowunmi, Ladi Adebutu and Jimi Lawal.
  20. Babalola, Ayoola. "Elrufai's associate, Jimi Lawal, picks PDP form for Ogun governorship". Peoples Gazette. Retrieved 26 March 2022.
  21. Moses, Peter. "El-Rufai's Aide Joins PDP, Declares For Ogun Governorship Race". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 March 2022.
  22. Kayode-Adedeji, Dimeji. "Atiku's former campaign spokesperson joins Ogun governorship race". Premium Times. Retrieved 17 March 2022.
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