Next Israeli legislative election

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel by 11 November 2025 to elect the members of the twenty-fifth Knesset. On 6 April 2022, coalition whip Idit Silman quit the governing coalition, leaving it without a majority and raising the possibility of a fifth snap election in just over three years.[1]

Next Israeli legislative election
On or before 11 November 2025
All 120 seats in the Knesset
61 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeader Current seats
Likud Benjamin Netanyahu 29
Yesh Atid Yair Lapid 17
Shas Vacant 9
Blue and White Benny Gantz 8
Labor Merav Michaeli 7
UTJ Moshe Gafni 7
Yisrael Beiteinu Avigdor Lieberman 7
Religious Zionist Bezalel Smotrich 7
Yamina Naftali Bennett 6
Joint List Ayman Odeh 6
New Hope Gideon Sa'ar 6
Meretz Nitzan Horowitz 6
Ra'am Mansour Abbas 4
Independent Amichai Chikli 1
Incumbent Prime Minister
Naftali Bennett
Yamina

Electoral system
Further information: Elections in Israel

The 120 seats in the Knesset are elected by closed list proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency. The electoral threshold for the election is 3.25%.[2]

Two parties can sign a surplus vote agreement that allows them to compete for leftover seats as if they were running together on the same list. The Bader–Ofer method slightly favours larger lists, meaning that alliances are more likely to receive leftover seats than parties would be individually. If the alliance receives leftover seats, the Bader–Ofer calculation is applied privately, to determine how the seats are divided among the two allied lists.[3]

Parties
See also: List of political parties in Israel

Current composition
Further information on the 24th Knesset: List of members of the twenty-fourth Knesset

The table below lists the parliamentary factions represented in the 24th Knesset.

Name Ideology Symbol Primary demographic Leader 2021 result As of April
2022
Votes (%) Seats
Likud National liberalism מחל‎ – Benjamin Netanyahu 24.19%
30 / 120
29 / 120
Yesh Atid Liberalism פה‎ – Yair Lapid 13.93%
17 / 120
17 / 120
Shas Religious conservatism שס‎ Sephardi and
Mizrahi Haredim		 Aryeh Deri 7.17%
9 / 120
9 / 120
Blue and White Social liberalism כן‎ – Benny Gantz 6.63%
8 / 120
8 / 120
Yamina National conservatism ב‎ – Naftali Bennett 6.21%
7 / 120
6 / 120
Labor Social democracy אמת‎ – Merav Michaeli 6.09%
7 / 120
7 / 120
United Torah Judaism Religious conservatism ג‎ Ashkenazi Haredim Moshe Gafni 5.63%
7 / 120
7 / 120
Yisrael Beiteinu Nationalism
Secularism		 ל‎ Russian-speakers Avigdor Lieberman 5.63%
7 / 120
7 / 120
Religious Zionist Religious Zionism ט‎ Israeli settlers, Modern Orthodox and Hardal Jews Bezalel Smotrich 5.12%
6 / 120
7 / 120
Joint List Big tent
Minority interests		 ודעם‎ Israeli Arabs Ayman Odeh 4.82%
6 / 120
6 / 120
New Hope National liberalism ת‎ – Gideon Sa'ar 4.74%
6 / 120
6 / 120
Meretz Progressivism מרצ‎ – Nitzan Horowitz 4.59%
6 / 120
6 / 120
Ra'am Islamic democracy עם‎ Israeli Arab Sunni Muslims, Negev Bedouin Mansour Abbas 3.79%
4 / 120
4 / 120
Independent - - Amichai Chikli
N/A
1 / 120

Opinion polls
Main article: Opinion polling for the next Israeli legislative election

This graph shows the polling trends from the 23 March 2021 Israeli legislative election until the next election day using a 4-poll moving average. Scenario polls are not included here.

For parties not crossing the electoral threshold (currently 3.25%) in any given poll, the number of seats is calculated as a percentage of the 120 total seats.

See also

References
  1. Ben Zion, Ilan (6 April 2022). "Israel government loses majority as religious lawmaker quits". AP News. Associated Press. Retrieved 6 April 2022.
  2. Harkov, Lahav (16 March 2014). "With Bader-Ofer method, not every ballot counts". The Jerusalem Post.
  3. The Distribution of Knesset Seats Among the Lists—the Bader-Offer Method Knesset
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.