Next Greek legislative election

The next Greek legislative election will be held on or before 6 August 2023. All 300 seats in the Hellenic Parliament will be contested.

Next Greek legislative election
On or before 6 August 2023
All 300 seats in the Hellenic Parliament
151 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Kyriakos Mitsotakis Alexis Tsipras Nikos Androulakis
Party ND SYRIZA-PA KINAL
Leader since 11 January 2016 9 February 2008 13 December 2021
Leader's seat Athens B2 Achaea N/A
Last election 39.85%, 158 seats 31.53%, 86 seats 8.10%, 22 seats
Seats needed 65 129
 
Leader Dimitris Koutsoumpas Kyriakos Velopoulos Yanis Varoufakis
Party KKE EL MeRA25
Leader since 14 April 2013 28 June 2016 2018
Leader's seat Athens B2 Larissa Thessaloniki A
Last election 5.30%, 15 seats 3.70%, 10 seats 3.44%, 9 seats
Seats needed 136 141 142
Map of electoral districts.
Incumbent Prime Minister

Kyriakos Mitsotakis
ND


This will be the first election since 1990 in which the electoral system will not contain the bonus seats system, after the 2016 repeal of "reinforced" proportional representation.

Electoral system
See also: Elections in Greece, List of parliamentary constituencies of Greece, and Apportionment in the Hellenic Parliament

The electoral law in effect for the next legislative election (in 2023 at the latest) is set to be the one voted in 2016 by the second last legislature, where SYRIZA held a plurality.[1]. This is due to a constitutional provision on amendments to the electoral law: a two-thirds majority (200 or more votes of the Vouli) is necessary for the law to take immediate effect, and for want of such a supermajority, an electoral law comes into effect only in the next-but-one election.

SYRIZA's 2016 law is a switch back to simple proportional representation. It ditched the 50-seat majority bonus in place since 1990 (although thresholds were amended over time).

In January 2020, soon after returning to power, New Democracy, which has always been a proponent of majority bonuses since 1974, passed a new electoral law to reinstate them albeit under a very different formula. The party list coming first shall receive 20 extra seats (down from 50, with the constituency seats up from 250 to 280). Moreover, a new sliding scale disproportionality shall help the larger party lists: those receiving between 25% and 40% of the vote will receive one seat for every half percentage point in this range (up to 30 seats), before the proper proportional distribution begins. A winning party may thus receive up to 50 extra seats. However, this 2020 law also lacked the supermajority to take immediate effect. As a result, it will take effect only in the second next election (2027 at the latest).[2]

Compulsory voting will be in force for the elections, with voter registration being automatic.[3] However, none of the legally existing penalties or sanctions have ever been enforced.[4]

Opinion polls
Main article: Opinion polling for the next Greek legislative election
Local regression trend line of poll results from 7 July 2019 to July 2023, with each line corresponding to a political party.

References
  1. Law 4406–ΦΕΚ 113/2016.
  2. "Parliament votes to change election law | Kathimerini". www.ekathimerini.com. Retrieved 25 January 2020.
  3. "Constitution of Greece" (PDF). Hellenic Parliament. Retrieved 5 November 2011. Article 51, Clause 5: The exercise of the right to vote is compulsory.
  4. Υποχρεωτική η ψήφος αλλά "παγωμένες" οι κυρώσεις [Voting is mandatory, but penalties "frozen"]. Eleftherotypia (in Greek). Archived from the original on 17 February 2013. Retrieved 7 November 2011.
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