Danish withdrawal from the European Union

Danish withdrawal from the European Union (colloquially Dexit[1][2] or Danexit,[3][4] a portmanteau of "Danish" and "exit") is the hypothesis that Denmark might leave the European Union (EU). Leaving the EU is supported by just two of the political parties represented in the Danish Parliament,[5][6] with less than 8% of the total seats.

Location of Denmark in the European Union

Background

I am pretty sure that the result will be such that it could be interesting to have the Danish voters to vote on it as well.[7]

Kenneth Kristensen Berth, Danish politician, August 2016.)

Political positions

Kristian Thulesen Dahl, Danish People's Party (DPP) in 2019

In 2016, then leader of the Danish People's Party (DPP), Kristian Thulesen Dahl, said that he wanted a referendum on if Denmark should leave the EU.[8]

In 2020, Morten Messerschmidt, leader of the DPP since 2022, said that his country might leave the European Union within the next few years due to what he believed would be 'the success of Brexit'.[9]

Morten Messerschmidt, Danish People's Party (DPP) in 2013

As of 2022, membership of the European Union has broad support across the Danish political spectrum, including from the governing Social Democratic Party [10] and the main opposition Venstre.[11] The right-wing DPP and New Right parties support leaving the EU, with only the latter current advocating for a referendum on EU membership.[6][5][12] Together, the two parties hold 14 of the 179 seats in the Danish parliament.

Although traditionally eurosceptic, the left-wing Red–Green Alliance dropped it's policy of supporting a membership referendum in 2019 as a result of the troubled Brexit process.[13] It now advocates for reform of EU policies.[14]

History

Denmark has been a member of the EU since 1973 and a majority support continued Danish membership of the EU.[7] Greenland, after establishing home rule in 1979, voted to leave the European Communities in 1982 while remaining a country of the Kingdom of Denmark. Denmark has twice disrupted EU plans: in 1992, the Danes voted against ratification of the Treaty of Maastricht,[15] but approved it after the Danish Government renegotiated its terms to secure Danish opt-outs from some[8] of its provisions; in 2000 in another referendum,[8] Denmark decided by a small majority not to join the euro, but since then, the Danmarks Nationalbank has maintained a fixed exchange rate between the Danish krone and the euro.[16]

Public opinion

Dates conducted Polling Firm Remain Leave Undecided or don't know Lead
February 2021 YouGov/Eurotrack[17] 62% Total 'Remain' 23% Total 'Leave' 12% Don't know 39%
April 2020 Sentio[18] 39% EU member 39% Nordic cooperation 22% Don't know 0%
1 February 2020 The United Kingdom left the European Union.
November 2019 European Commission[19] 63% Tend to trust 26% Tend not to trust 11% Don't know what to do 37%
April 2019 Sentio[20] 41% EU membership 43% Nordic cooperation 2%
November 2018 European Commission[21] 60% Tend to trust 31% Tend not to trust 9% Don't know what to do 29%
November 2017 European Commission[22] 52% Tend to trust 37% Tend not to trust 11% Don't know what to do 15%
November 2016 European Commission[23] 57% Total 'Optimistic' 39% Total 'Pessimistic' 4% Don't know 18%
23 June 2016 The United Kingdom votes to leave the European Union.
11-12 April 2016 Analyseenheden 4V

[24]

30% Stay in the EU 27% Follow Britain out of the EU 34% Wait and see, and make a decision at a later point in time
9% Don't know
4%
November 2015 European Commission[25] 65% Total 'Optimistic' 30% Total 'Pessimistic' 5% Don't know 35%
November 2014 European Commission[26] 73% Total 'Optimistic' 25% Total 'Pessimistic' 2% Don't know 48%
November 2013 European Commission[27] 75% Total 'Optimistic' 22% Total 'Pessimistic' 3% Don't know 53%

See also

References

  1. Eriksen, Julie (23 June 2020). "Den våde drøm om Dexit bliver et mareridt: "Det er på tide, at vi danskere anerkender nogle fundamentale sandheder om vores lille, hyggelige land"". Politiken (in Danish). Retrieved 24 July 2020.
  2. "JV mener: Tak for klar DF-udmelding". JydskeVestkysten (in Danish). 7 June 2020. Retrieved 24 July 2020.
  3. "Danexit könnte dem Brexit folgen". Mein Geld (in German). 13 June 2016.
  4. "Danish media: Brexit won't lead to Danexit". uniavisen.dk. 23 June 2016.
  5. "EU-politik DF - Mere Danmark - mindre EU - Begrænset EU-samarbejde".
  6. "EU-politik". Nye Borgerlige.
  7. Miriam Arndts (1 August 2016). "Wie wahrscheinlich ist ein dänisches EU-Referendum?". DeutschlandfunkKultur.de (in German).
  8. Bodo Hering (25 June 2016). "Brexit: Sind Holland und Dänemark die nächsten?". Berlin Journal (in German).
  9. Andreas Karker (12 January 2020). "B.T. Morten Messerschmidt: Vi er meldt ud af EU inden 2030" (in Danish)..
  10. "Foreign Policy and the EU". www.socialdemokratiet.dk.
  11. "EU-politik - Hvad er EU politik i Venstre?". Venstre, Danmarks Liberale Parti.
  12. "Meet Denmark's new anti-immigration party". The Local. 22 September 2017.
  13. "'Vi ønsker ikke at kopiere kaos': Brexit har skræmt danske EU-skeptikere - men ikke alle". DR. May 23, 2019.
  14. "Det mener vi om EU". Enhedslisten.EU.
  15. Helmut Steuer; Martina Meister; Boris Kálnoky; Jörg Winterbauer; Hans-Jörg Schmidt; Sarah Maria Brech (25 June 2016). "Diese Länder könnten die nächsten Exit-Kandidaten sein". Die Welt (in German).
  16. "DENMARK'S FIXED EXCHANGE RATE POLICY". Danmarks Nationalbank. Retrieved 31 January 2020.
  17. "YouGov / Eurotrack Survey Results" (PDF). YouGov/Eurotrack. February 2021.
  18. People's Movement against the EU: A representative poll shows Danes divided in the question of EU membership, People's Movement against the EU, 8 April 2020 (in Danish)
    The poll question was: If a Nordic cooperation could be established, consisting of Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden with common policies within a great number of issues, e.g. environment, judicial and foreign policy, as well as trade agreements with the EU and other countries – and you had the choice between Denmark participating in the Nordic cooperation or be a member of the EU. Then what would you vote for?
  19. "Eurobarometer 2019" (PDF). European Commission.
  20. Most Danes want Nordic cooperation before EU membership, Arbejderen, 26 April 2019 (in Danish)
  21. "Eurobarometer 2018". European Commission.
  22. "Eurobarometer 2017". European Commission.
  23. "Eurobarometer 2016". European Commission.
  24. a4v (12 April 2016). Danexit after Brexit? Summary
  25. "Eurobarometer 2015". European Commission.
  26. "Eurobarometer 2014". European Commission.
  27. "Eurobarometer 2013". European Commission.
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