30th Saskatchewan general election

The 30th Saskatchewan general election will be held on or before October 28, 2024 to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan.[1]

30th Saskatchewan general election
On or before October 28, 2024
61 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan
31 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Scott Moe Ryan Meili
Party Saskatchewan New Democratic
Leader since January 27, 2018 March 3, 2018
Leader's seat Rosthern-Shellbrook Saskatoon Meewasin
Last election 48 seats, 60.67% 13 seats, 31.82%
Current seats 48 12
Seats needed 19
Incumbent Premier

Scott Moe
Saskatchewan


Background

Since 2010, the Legislative Assembly has had a fixed four-year term. According to the 2019 amendment to The Legislative Assembly Act, 2007 (Saskatchewan), "the first general election after the coming into force of this subsection must be held on Monday, October 26, 2020".[2][3] Subsequent elections, must occur "on the last Monday of October in the fourth calendar year after the last general election".[4] However, the act also provides that if the election period would overlap with a federal election period, the provincial election is to be postponed until the first Monday of the following April; in this case: April 7, 2025.[4] The fixed election law does not infringe on the Lieutenant Governor's right to dissolve the Legislative Assembly at an earlier date on the Premier's advice.

Timeline

2020

2021

2022

Opinion polls
Polling firm Client Dates conducted Source SK Party NDP Green Liberal Buffalo PC Others Margin
of error		 Sample
size		 Polling method Lead
Angus Reid N/A Mar 10–15, 2022 [p 1][p 2] 54% 36% 2% 2% 6% 4% 602 Online 18%
Research Co. N/A Feb 19–23, 2022 [p 3] 53% 37% 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 3.5% 808 Online 16%
Angus Reid N/A Jan 7–12, 2022 [p 4][p 5] 48% 39% 1% 2% 10% 5% 415 Online 9%
Angus Reid N/A Sep 29–Oct 3, 2021 [p 6] 52% 35% 1% 2% 9% 2% 505 Online 17%
Angus Reid N/A Jun 2–7, 2021 [p 7] 57% 31% 3% 2% 8% 4% 412 Online 26%
Leger Common Ground Mar 1–8, 2021 [p 8] 41.5% 36.3% 3.9% 6.2% 4.5% 7.3% 0.2% N/A 802 Online 5.3%
Angus Reid N/A Nov 24–30, 2020 [p 9] 58% 29% 12% 1.4% 459 Online 29%
2020 general election Oct 24, 2020 N/A 60.7% 31.8% 2.3% 0.1% 2.6% 1.9% 2.8% N/A N/A N/A 28.9%
Polling firm Client Dates conducted Source Others Margin
of error		 Sample
size		 Polling method Lead
SK Party NDP Green Liberal Buffalo PC

Opinion poll sources
  1. "Provincial spotlight: Ontario, Alberta governments heavily criticized on nearly every aspect of provincial management". Angus Reid Institute. 2022-03-31. Retrieved 2022-03-31.
  2. "Detailed Results" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. 2022-03-31.
  3. "What is Saskatchewan?". Research Co. February 25, 2022. Archived from the original on February 25, 2022. Retrieved February 25, 2022.
  4. "Spotlight on Provincial Politics" (PDF). Angus Reid. January 20, 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on January 20, 2022. Retrieved January 20, 2022.
  5. "Spotlight on Provincial Politics: NDP edge PCPO in vote among Ontario voters, CAQ leads comfortably in Quebec" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. 2022-01-20. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2022-01-20. Retrieved 2022-01-21.
  6. "Provincial Spotlight" (PDF). Angus Reid. October 27, 2021. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 27, 2021. Retrieved October 27, 2021.
  7. "Archived copy" (PDF). angusreid.org. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2021-06-10.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  8. "Viewpoint Saskatchewan: Vote Intentions & Party Identifications". Common Ground. Archived from the original on 2021-12-03. Retrieved 2021-12-03.
  9. "Provincial Spotlight: As pandemic wears on, governments losing support on economic, COVID-19 management". Angus Reid Institute. 2020-12-10. Archived from the original on 2021-01-13. Retrieved 2021-01-12.

References
  1. Solomon, Michaela (29 September 2020). "Saskatchewan's 29th general election begins as writ drop announced". regina.ctvnews.ca. CTV News. Archived from the original on 9 May 2021. Retrieved 6 October 2020.
  2. "Sask. gov't announces 2020 election date, tables election law changes". Global News. Archived from the original on 2020-08-20. Retrieved 2020-09-01.
  3. "Saskatchewan adjusting 2020 provincial, municipal election dates". Regina Leader Post. Archived from the original on 2020-09-13. Retrieved 2020-09-01.
  4. "The Legislative Assembly Act, 2007" (PDF). The Queen's Printer (Saskatchewan). 2019. Archived (PDF) from the original on December 21, 2018. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  5. Pearce, Nick (August 10, 2021). "NDP MLA Buckley Belanger resigns from legislature to seek federal Liberal nomination". thestarphoenix. Archived from the original on 2022-01-27. Retrieved 2022-03-16.
  6. "Sask. Party MLA resigns from government caucus after 'misrepresenting her vaccination status'". CTV Regina. 2021-09-30. Archived from the original on 2022-03-16. Retrieved 2022-03-16.
  7. Williams, Ethan (February 16, 2022). "Sask. Party candidate takes Athabasca riding in byelection upset". CBC. Archived from the original on March 12, 2022. Retrieved March 16, 2022.
  8. Hunter, Adam (February 18, 2022). "Sask. NDP Leader Ryan Meili stepping down, will remain as leader until party chooses a successor". CBC. Archived from the original on March 6, 2022. Retrieved March 16, 2022.


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