2022 Quebec general election

The 2022 Quebec general election is scheduled to take place on or before October 3, 2022, to elect the members of the National Assembly of Quebec. Under the province's fixed election date law, passed in 2013, "the general election following the end of a Legislature shall be held on the first Monday of October of the fourth calendar year following the year that includes the last day of the previous Legislature",[2] setting the date for October 3, 2022. The Lieutenant Governor of Quebec may still dissolve the legislature before that time on the advice of the Premier, in accordance with the usual conventions of the Westminster parliamentary system.

2022 Quebec general election
On or before October 3, 2022 (2022-10-03)
125 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec
63 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader François Legault Dominique Anglade Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois[lower-alpha 1]
Party Coalition Avenir Québec Liberal Québec solidaire
Leader since November 4, 2011 May 11, 2020 May 21, 2017
Leader's seat L'Assomption Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Gouin
Last election 74 seats, 37.42% 31 seats, 24.82% 10 seats, 16.10%
Current seats 75 27 10
Seats needed 36 53
 
Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon Éric Duhaime
Party Parti Québécois Conservative
Leader since October 9, 2020 April 17, 2021
Leader's seat Running in Bourget Running in Chauveau
Last election 10 seats, 17.06% 0 seats, 1.46%
Current seats 6 1
Seats needed 56 62
Incumbent Premier

François Legault
Coalition Avenir Québec


Background

The 2018 general election resulted in a victory for the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) led by François Legault, which won 74 of 125 seats, giving the party a majority and unseating Philippe Couillard's Liberal Party after a single term in office. Couillard subsequently resigned as Liberal leader and was replaced on an interim basis by Pierre Arcand until his successor was chosen.[3][4]

Both the Parti Québécois and Québec solidaire won ten seats each, fewer than the twelve needed for official party status; Parti Québécois leader Jean-François Lisée, defeated in his bid for re-election, resigned as party leader, replaced on an interim basis by Pascal Bérubé until his successor was chosen.[5][6] Adrien D. Pouliot, leader of the Conservative Party of Quebec, is stepping down as leader on October 16, 2020.

Following Couillard's resignation, the Quebec Liberal Party held a leadership race. Dominique Anglade, former Deputy Premier of Quebec, was acclaimed leader of the party after her only rival, former mayor of Drummondville, Alexandre Cusson, stepped down. Following a leadership race, Paul St-Pierre Plamondon was elected leader of the sovereignist party by the members and supporters of the Parti Québécois.

Political parties and standings

The table below lists parties represented and seats held in the House of Commons after the 2019 federal election and at dissolution.

Name Ideology Position Leader 2018 Result Seats at
Dissolution
Votes (%) Seats
Coalition Avenir Quebec Quebec nationalism
Conservatism		 Centre-right François Legault
37.42%
74 / 125
75 / 125
Liberal Quebec federalism
Economic liberalism		 Centre Dominique Anglade
24.82%
31 / 125
27 / 125
Québec solidaire Quebec sovereigntism
Democratic socialism
Alter-globalization		 Left-wing Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
16.10%
10 / 125
10 / 125
Parti Québécois Quebec sovereigntism
Quebec nationalism
Social democracy
Economic nationalism		 Centre-left Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
17.06%
10 / 125
6 / 125
Conservative Quebec federalism
Conservatism
Fiscal conservatism		 Centre-right to right-wing Éric Duhaime
1.46%
0 / 125
1 / 125
Independents N/A
0.16%
0 / 338
5 / 338
Vacant seats N/A –
0 / 338
0 / 338

Timeline
Graph of Quebec general election results by share of votes, 1993–2022; omitted are minor parties consistently registering less than 2% of the vote as well as those who campaigned intermittently.
Graph of Quebec general election results by seats won, 1993–2022; those of independent MNAs are omitted.
Changes in seats held (2018–Present)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Roberval October 4, 2018[3] Philippe Couillard █ Liberal Resignation[a 1] December 10, 2018[7] Nancy Guillemette █ CAQ
Chomedey October 5, 2018[8][9] Guy Ouellette █ Liberal Expelled from caucus[a 2] █ Independent
Marie-Victorin March 11, 2019[10] Catherine Fournier █ Parti Québécois Resigned from caucus[a 3] █ Independent
Jean-Talon August 30, 2019[11] Sébastien Proulx █ Liberal Resignation[a 4] December 2, 2019[12] Joëlle Boutin █ CAQ
Rimouski December 15, 2020[13] Harold LeBel █ Parti Québécois Expelled from caucus[a 5] █ Independent
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata December 17, 2020[14] Denis Tardif █ CAQ Expelled from caucus[a 6] █ Independent
April 12, 2021[15] █ Independent Reinstated █ CAQ
Rousseau March 30, 2021[16] Louis-Charles Thouin █ CAQ Withdrew from caucus[a 7] █ Independent
Bonaventure June 4, 2021[17] Sylvain Roy █ Parti Québécois Withdrew from caucus[a 8] █ Independent
Iberville June 15, 2021[18] Claire Samson █ CAQ Expelled from caucus[a 9] █ Conservative
Maurice-Richard November 1, 2021[19] Marie Montpetit █ Liberal Expelled from caucus[a 10] █ Independent
Marie-Victorin November 1, 2021[20] Catherine Fournier █ Independent Resignation[a 11] April 12, 2022[21] Shirley Dorismond █ CAQ
  1. from positions of Liberal Party leader and MNA
  2. for allegedly leaking confidential information to the CAQ in 2016
  3. claiming that the party had lost its way ideologically
  4. to spend more time with family
  5. amid further investigations relating to sexual assault allegations
  6. for breaking COVID-19 restrictions
  7. amid an ethics probe
  8. amid disagreements with party leadership
  9. after giving a donation to the Conservative Party of Quebec
  10. after allegations of workplace harassment
  11. to run for Mayor of Longueuil

2018

2020

Candidates
Main article: Candidates of the 2022 Quebec general election

Incumbents not running for reelection
Electoral district Date announced Incumbent at dissolution and subsequent nominee New MNA
Anjou–Louis-Riel August 30, 2021[24]   Lise Thériault Chantal Gagnon[25]
La Pinière November 14, 2021[26]   Gaétan Barrette
Mille-Îles December 17, 2021[27]   Francine Charbonneau
Iberville January 13, 2022[28]   Claire Samson
Duplessis January 19, 2022[29]   Lorraine Richard
Jonquière March 1, 2022[30]   Sylvain Gaudreault
Rimouski March 3, 2022[31]   Harold LeBel –
Acadie March 21, 2022[32]   Christine St-Pierre
Fabre March 26, 2022[33]   Monique Sauvé
Verchères March 31, 2022[34]   Suzanne Dansereau Suzanne Roy[35]
Taschereau April 1, 2022[36]   Catherine Dorion
Marguerite-Bourgeoys April 2, 2022[36]   Hélène David
Laporte April 2, 2022[36]   Nicole Ménard
Vimont April 2, 2022[36]   Jean Rousselle
Sanguinet April 8, 2022[37]   Danielle McCann
Prévost April 8, 2022[37]   Marguerite Blais
D'Arcy-McGee April 11, 2022[38]   David Birnbaum
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata April 15, 2022[39]   Denis Tardif Amélie Dionne[40]
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré April 19, 2022[41]   Émilie Foster
Joliette April 21, 2022[42]   Véronique Hivon

Opinion polls
Voting intentions in Quebec since the 2018 election
Polling organisation Last date of polling Source Sample size MoE CAQ Liberal PQ QS PCQ Other Lead
Léger April 17, 2022 PDF 1,020 ±3.1% 44 17 9 15 13 2 27
Synopsis Recherche March 17, 2022 PDF 1,000 N/A 44 15 8 15 16 2 28
Angus Reid March 15, 2022 URL 761 ±3% 33 19 9 16 19 4[lower-alpha 2] 14
Mainstreet March 15, 2022 PDF 1,200 ±3% 36.2 16.1 6.8 17.3 23.6 N/A 12.6
Léger March 6, 2022 HTML 1,017 ±3.1% 41 18 10 14 14 3 23
Léger February 13, 2022 PDF 1,017 ±3.1% 41 20 11 12 14 2 21
Léger January 16, 2022 HTML 1,032 ±3.1% 42 20 11 14 11 3 22
Angus Reid January 12, 2022 PDF 760 ±3% 37 20 12 16 9 5[lower-alpha 3] 17
Mainstreet January 8, 2022 HTML 1,024 N/A 38 20 10 19 13 N/A 16
Léger November 28, 2021 PDF 1,024 ±3.1% 46 20 13 13 5 3 26
Angus Reid October 3, 2021 HTML 716 N/A 37 21 10 15 11 6[lower-alpha 4] 16
Léger September 29, 2021 PDF 1,008 ±3.1% 47 20 11 11 8 3 27
Synopsis Recherche August 30, 2021 HTML 1,500 N/A 49 16 9 14 9 3 33
Angus Reid June 8, 2021 PDF 679 ±3% 41 21 11 14 8 4[lower-alpha 5] 20
CAQ announce bill 96 which will be strengthening Bill 101, the French language law. (May 12, 2021)
Leger May 1, 2021 HTML 1,015 ±3.1% 46 20 12 14 6 3 26
Éric Duhaime is elected as leader of the Conservative Party of Quebec (April 17, 2021)
Mainstreet February 9, 2021 PDF 1,012 ±3.08% 48 21 11 12 N/A 8 27
Leger December 13, 2020 PDF 1,004 ±3.1% 49 22 14 11 N/A 5 27
Angus Reid November 30, 2020 PDF 768 N/A 38 23 15 10 9 3[lower-alpha 6] 13
Leger November 25, 2020 HTML 1,000 ±3.1% 44 23 14 12 N/A 7 21
Leger October 18, 2020 PDF 1,011 ±3.1% 50 18 16 13 N/A 3 32
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is elected as leader of the Parti Québécois (October 9, 2020)
Leger September 3, 2020 PDF 1,000 ±3.1% 48 22 17 11 N/A 3 26
EKOS August 28, 2020 HTML 5,039 ±1.53% 57 17 11 9 N/A 6 40
Innovative Research Group July 20, 2020 PDF 565 N/A 38 29 17 9 N/A 8 11
EKOS July 3, 2020 HTML 1,870 ±2.5% 59 19 8 9 N/A 5 40
Innovative Research Group June 23, 2020 PDF 263 N/A 39 29 21 5 N/A 7 10
Leger June 21, 2020 PDF 1,002 ±3.0% 51 22 14 10 N/A 4 29
Innovative Research Group June 1, 2020 PDF 257 N/A 38 28 16 9 N/A 9 10
Leger May 25, 2020 HTML 1,203 N/A 54 22 11 8 N/A 5 32
Angus Reid May 24, 2020 HTML 739 N/A 50 22 11 10 3 4 28
Dominique Anglade is elected as leader of the Quebec Liberal Party (May 11, 2020)
Innovative Research Group May 5, 2020 PDF 257 N/A 35 32 17 8 N/A 6 3
EKOS March 26, 2020 HTML 578 ±4.1% 51.9 19.2 14.4 10.4 N/A 4 32.7
Leger March 16, 2020 PDF 1,006 ±3.1% 46 22 18 10 N/A 3 24
State of emergency declared due to the COVID-19 pandemic (March 13, 2020)
Angus Reid February 28, 2020 PDF 638 ±3.7% 36 22 17 16 3 6 14
Leger February 17, 2020 PDF 1,017 ±3.1% 40 28 18 15 N/A N/A 12
Leger January 15, 2020 HTML 1,202 ±2.8% 42 23 19 11 N/A 5 19
CAQ wins the by-election in Jean-Talon (December 2, 2019)
Leger November 25, 2019 HTML 1,000 ±3.1% 38 27 19 10 N/A 6 11
Forum July 24, 2019 PDF 977 ±3% 42 22 12 15 N/A 10 20
Mainstreet July 2, 2019 HTML 871 ±3.32% 47.8 21.7 10.5 14.5 N/A 5.6 26.1
CAQ passes Bill 21 "An Act respecting the laicity of the State" (June 16, 2019)
Forum June 12, 2019 PDF 1,407–71 ±2.5% 46 16 13 19 N/A 6 24
Leger May 21, 2019 HTML 979 ±3% 46 23 14 13 N/A 4 23
Mainstreet March 21, 2019 PDF 940 ±3.20% 45.3 22.3 10.4 14.7 N/A 7.2 23.0
Leger March 11, 2019 PDF[lower-alpha 7] 1,014 ±3.08% 44 21 15 15 N/A 5 23
Leger January 28, 2019 PDF[lower-alpha 8] 1,007 ±3.09% 42 22 18 15 N/A 3 20
Mainstreet January 18, 2019 PDF 979 ±3.13% 44.5 26.1 8.9 15.8 N/A 4.8 18.4
CAQ wins the by-election in Roberval (December 10, 2018)
Mainstreet November 7, 2018 HTML 896 ±3.27% 39.4 22.8 14.1 19.0 N/A 4.7 16.6
2018 election October 1, 2018 4,033,538 37.4 24.8 17.1 16.1 1.5 3.1 12.6

Cancelled electoral reform referendum
Québec's 2022 Electoral reform Referendum
(government proposal)
October 3, 2022 (2022-10-03)
Do you agree with replacing the first-past-the-post electoral system by the mixed electoral system with regional compensation set out in the Act to establish a new electoral system?
French: Êtes-vous en accord avec le remplacement du mode de scrutin majoritaire uninominal à un tour par le mode de scrutin mixte avec compensation régionale prévu par la Loi établissant un nouveau mode de scrutin?

François Legault was elected on a promise to reform the electoral system within a year of his victory.

One year later, on September 25, 2019, Minister of Justice Sonia LeBel presented Bill 39, An Act to establish a new electoral system which aims to replace the First-past-the-post electoral system in favour of a mixed-member proportional representation system.

According to the bill, the National Assembly would have kept 125 members. Of the 125 members, 80 would have been elected by receiving a plurality of votes in single-member districts matching the 78 federal ridings with the addition of 2 unique districts: Îles-de-la-Madeleine and Ungava). The remaining 45 members would have been chosen according to their order in a regional party list. All 17 regions of Québec would have been guaranteed at least one MNA.[43]

The proposed system was as such:

Federal region Provincial region District seats Regional seats  % of
electors		  % of
MNAs
Eastern Quebec Gaspésie–Îles-de-la-Madeleine211.2%2.4%
Bas-Saint-Laurent212.6%2.4%
Quebec City Capitale-Nationale749.2%8.8%
Chaudière-Appalaches435.4%5.4%
Eastern Townships Centre-du-Québec323.1%4.0%
Estrie324.0%4.0%
Montérégie Montérégie14818.9%17.6%
Hochelaga (East Montreal, West
Montreal, North Montreal & Laval)		 Montreal16821.5%19.2%
Laval425.0%4.8%
Côte-Nord and Saguenay Saguenay–Lac-Saint-Jean323.6%4.0%
Côte-Nord111.1%1.6%
Central Quebec Mauricie323.5 %4.0%
Lanaudière536.3 %6.4%
The Laurentides, Outaouais
and Northern Quebec		 Laurentides637.6 %7.2%
Outaouais424.6 %4.8%
Abitibi-Témiscamingue211.9%2.4%
Nord-du-Québec100.5%0.8%
TOTAL8045

Bill 39 was intended to be debated in the legislature before June 2021. The bill's implementation would have been contingent on popular support expressed in a referendum held on the same day as the general election.[44] Was this referendum successful, then the first legislature to be elected under mixed-member proportional would have been the 44th, in October 2026 at the latest.

However, on April 28, 2021, Justice Minister LeBel informed a legislative committee hearing that the government would not move forward with a referendum on electoral reform in 2022. LeBel blamed the COVID-19 pandemic for altering the government's timeline and could not commit to providing an alternate date for the referendum, effectively ending discussions about electoral reform in Quebec.[45]

Notes
  1. Québec solidaire designates Nadeau-Dubois and Manon Massé as co-spokespeople. Nadeau-Dubois is the person most likely to be the party's candidate for premier during the next general election. The party's power is held by the general meetings of the members and a board of 16 directors; the de jure leader recognized by the Chief Electoral Officer of Quebec (DGE) is Gaétan Châteauneuf.[1]
  2. Including PVQ at 2%
  3. Including PVQ at 3%
  4. Including PVQ at 3%
  5. Including PVQ at 3%
  6. Including PVQat 2%
  7. Archived August 14, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
  8. Archived November 7, 2020, at the Wayback Machine

References
  1. "Québec solidaire". Élections Québec. Retrieved June 20, 2017.
  2. An Act to amend the Election Act for the purpose of establishing fixed-date elections, L.Q. 2013, c. 13, s. 3
  3. Hinkson, Kamila (October 4, 2018). "Philippe Couillard steps down, making way for a 'new generation' of Quebec Liberals". CBC News. Retrieved April 24, 2019.
  4. Authier, Philip (October 5, 2018). "New interim Liberal leader Pierre Arcand takes aim at CAQ and QS". Montreal Gazette. Retrieved April 24, 2019.
  5. Stober, Eric; Laframboise, Kalina (October 1, 2018). "Parti Québécois Leader Jean-François Lisée steps down after losing own riding of Rosemont". Global News. Retrieved April 24, 2019.
  6. "Pascal Bérubé named interim Parti Québécois leader". CBC News. October 9, 2018. Retrieved April 24, 2019.
  7. "Roberval elects CAQ candidate Nancy Guillemette". CTV News. December 11, 2018. Retrieved April 24, 2019.
  8. "Guy Ouellette expelled from Liberal caucus". CBC News. October 5, 2018. Retrieved April 24, 2019.
  9. "'Destroyed' by investigation, Guy Ouellette sues Quebec government for $550K". CBC News. November 22, 2018. Retrieved April 24, 2019.
  10. "'They've lost their way': PQ MNA Catherine Fournier quits party". CTV Montreal. March 11, 2019. Retrieved April 24, 2019.
  11. Authier, Philip (August 31, 2019). "Former Liberal minister Sébastien Proulx announces he's leaving politics". Montreal Gazette. Retrieved September 12, 2019.
  12. "Liberal stronghold in Quebec City falls to the CAQ in by-election". CTV News Montreal, December 2, 2019.
  13. "Harold LeBel removed from Parti Québécois caucus following arrest". Rimouski: Global News. December 15, 2020. Retrieved April 20, 2021.
  14. "Quebec MNA out of CAQ caucus after flouting coronavirus rules". Rivière-du-Loup: Global News. December 17, 2020. Retrieved April 20, 2021.
  15. "Denis Tardif réintègre le caucus caquiste" (in Canadian French). Rivière-du-Loup: Le Journal de Québec. April 12, 2021. Retrieved April 20, 2021.
  16. "Rousseau MNA Louis-Charles Thouin withdraws from CAQ caucus amid ethics probe".
  17. Roy, Sylvain. "Sylvain Roy on Twitter". Twitter. Retrieved June 4, 2021.
  18. "Claire Samson booted from CAQ caucus over donation to rival party". June 16, 2021. Retrieved June 17, 2021.
  19. "Quebec Liberals eject Marie Montpetit from caucus over harassment allegations | CBC News".
  20. "Élection de Catherine Fournier | QS ne laissera pas le champ libre à St-Pierre Plamondon dans Marie-Victorin". November 8, 2021.
  21. "CAQ's Shirley Dorismond wins byelection in Marie-Victorin, a PQ stronghold". CBC News. April 12, 2022. Retrieved April 12, 2022.
  22. "Quebec Liberal Party suspends its leadership contest due to COVID-19 pandemic". CTV News. Canadian Press. March 20, 2020. Retrieved March 29, 2020.
  23. "Dominique Anglade couronnée à la tête du Parti libéral". TVA Nouvelles. Retrieved May 11, 2020.
  24. "La libérale Lise Thériault ne sollicitera pas un nouveau mandat". Radio-Canada (in Canadian French). August 30, 2021. Retrieved February 3, 2022.
  25. "Official Candidates". Quebec Liberal Party. Retrieved February 3, 2022.
  26. Boisclair, Valérie (November 14, 2021). "Gaétan Barrette ne sera pas candidat aux élections de 2022". Radio-Canada (in Canadian French). Retrieved February 3, 2022.
  27. "La députée lavalloise Francine Charbonneau ne se représentera pas en 2022". Radio-Canada (in Canadian French). December 17, 2021. Retrieved February 3, 2022.
  28. Parent, Nicolas (January 13, 2022). "Claire Samson ne sera pas des prochaines élection". Le Soleil (in Canadian French). Retrieved February 3, 2022.
  29. "La députée Lorraine Richard quittera la vie politique à la fin de son mandat". Radio-Canada (in Canadian French). January 19, 2022. Retrieved February 3, 2022.
  30. Larin, Vincent (March 1, 2022). "Parti Québécois: le péquiste Sylvain Gaudreault annonce son départ". Le Journal de Québec (in Canadian French). Retrieved March 1, 2022.
  31. Charest, Cimon (March 3, 2022). "Harold Lebel ne sera pas candidat aux prochaines élections". TVA Nouvelles (in Canadian French). Retrieved March 4, 2022.
  32. Labbé, Jérôme (March 21, 2022). "La députée libérale Christine St-Pierre ne se représentera pas". Radio-Canada (in Canadian French). Retrieved April 4, 2022.
  33. "PLQ: Monique Sauvé ne sollicitera pas un troisième mandat en octobre". La Tribune (in Canadian French). March 26, 2022. Retrieved April 4, 2022.
  34. "La caquiste Suzanne Dansereau ne sera pas candidate en 2022". TVA Nouvelles (in Canadian French). March 31, 2022. Retrieved April 4, 2022.
  35. "Suzanne Roy sera candidate de la CAQ dans Verchères". La Presse (in Canadian French). April 4, 2022. Retrieved April 8, 2022.
  36. "3 Liberal MNAs, QS MNA Catherine Dorion won't seek re-election this fall". CBC News. April 2, 2022. Retrieved April 2, 2022.
  37. Lajoie, Geneviève (April 8, 2022). "Les Ministres McCann et Blais ne reviendront pas". Le Journal de Montréal (in Canadian French). Retrieved April 8, 2022.
  38. "Le libéral David Birnbaum ne sera pas candidat". La Presse (in Canadian French). April 11, 2022. Retrieved April 17, 2022.
  39. "Denis Tardif ne sera pas candidat aux élections provinciales". Radio-Canada (in Canadian French). April 15, 2022. Retrieved April 17, 2022.
  40. "François Legault mise sur deux femmes dans le Bas-Saint-Laurent". La Presse (in Canadian French). April 19, 2022. Retrieved April 22, 2022.
  41. "La députée caquiste Émilie Foster cède sa place dans Charlevoix". Radio-Canada (in Canadian French). April 19, 2022. Retrieved April 22, 2022.
  42. "Véronique Hivon ne sollicitera pas de nouveau mandat". La Presse (in Canadian French). April 21, 2022. Retrieved April 22, 2022.
  43. "Réforme du mode de scrutin : Montréal perdra trois sièges au bénéfice des régions".
  44. "Bill 39 – An act to establish a new electoral system". National Assembly of Québec. Retrieved October 22, 2019.
  45. Montpetit, Jonathan (April 28, 2021). "Quebec backtracks on promise, no referendum on electoral reform in 2022". CBC Montreal.
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